Bills vs. Dolphins: Updated Odds, Money Line, Spread, Props to Watch for SNF

Bills vs. Dolphins: Updated Odds, Money Line, Spread, Props to Watch for SNF0 of 3

Josh AllenTimothy T Ludwig/Getty Images

The AFC East and crucial playoff positioning are on the line on Sunday Night Football in Week 18. With the Buffalo Bills headed to South Beach to take on the Miami Dolphins, the winner is going to go into the playoffs with a ton of momentum and a division crown on their resume.

Both teams have had their ups and downs this season, but it all culminates with a huge matchup to close out the 2023-24 regular season.

The Bills were 6-6 and hanging on to slim playoff hopes going into their Week 13 bye week. Since then, they’ve ripped off four wins in a row including a win in Kansas City and against the Dallas Cowboys.

The Dolphins are also out to prove something coming off a 56-19 loss to the Baltimore Ravens. They’ll also be looking to avenge a 48-20 loss to the Bills earlier in the season.

The game also gives bettors one last chance to get in on some regular season action. Here’s a look at the latest lines and odds for the game, including a few interesting prop bets.

Schedule, Odds and Spread1 of 3

De’Von AchaneRandy Litzinger/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images

Date: Sunday, January 7 at 8:20 p.m. ET

Watch: NBC/Peacock

Moneyline: Bills -155 ($155 wager wins $100); Dolphins +130 ($100 wager wins $130)

Spread: Bills -2.5

Over/Under: 48

Game Preview and Prediction2 of 3

Ryan Kang/Getty Images

Oddsmakers like the Bills on the road, but not by nearly as big a margin as their early-season matchup. The Bills beat the Dolphins by four touchdowns in that contest. With the Dolphins losing a blowout to the Ravens last week it’s tempting to believe they could be in for another rough one.

This Bills team doesn’t seem capable of pulling away from opponents right now, though. Buffalo is in the middle of a four-game winning streak, but the last two weeks have been too close for comfort.

After beating the Cowboys 31-10 they went on to just get by the Chargers (24-22) and Patriots (27-21) despite both of those teams being well out of the playoff race.

That being said, the Dolphins are going to have a hard time overcoming injuries in this one, especially on defense.

Both Jaelan Phillips and Bradley Chubb are out for the season. The Dolphins will lean on Andrew Van Ginkel, Emmanuel Ogbah and the recently acquired Melvin Ingram to pick up the slack left behind.

Even more concerning is that Xavien Howard was ruled out of the contest with a foot injury. Eli Apple will step in to replace the veteran cornerback.

On offense, Raheem Mostert and Jaylen Waddle are listed as questionable after sitting out Week 17.

The injuries certainly played a roll in the Dolphins getting rolled by the Ravens last week. The Bills might not be at that level, but they are still capable of getting things rolling on offense and getting the road win.

Prediction: Bills -2.5, Over

Props to Consider3 of 3

Tyreek HillMichael Owens/Getty Images

Gabe Davis Anytime Touchdown (+225)

Josh Allen is usually the safest anytime touchdown bet in a Bills game. He’s ran for at least one score in each of the last five games. However, it’s fair to wonder if they are going to be so eager to run him on the goal line after he suffered a stinger on the last play of the game against the Patriots last week.

James Cook is another consideration, but he’s only scored six touchdowns this season so his odds (+115) just don’t bring much value. Davis, however, has much longer odds and already scored a touchdown against Miami in the first matchup and has seven on the year.

Stefon Diggs Under 5.5 Receptions (-105)

The Stefon Diggs slump has been well-publicized. The star receiver has seen a downturn in his playing time and the targets have fallen with it. Early in the season he was a virtual lock to see at least 10 targets. Over the last three games he has seen just 13 combined.

There’s a case to be made that the Bills will increase those targets with the Miami defense banged up and the playoffs just a week away. But they are also winning with Diggs’ reduced role and this is a must-win game. The streak of Diggs not being all that involved could keep rolling.

Tyreek Hill Over 92.5 Yards (-115)

This line is a bit high, but there’s good reason to ride with Tyreek Hill on this one. The Dolphins offense is not quite as banged up as the defense, but there are still concerns. With Raheem Mostert and Jaylen Waddle both questionable for the game, the Dolphins other speed merchants are hobbled.

That could mean the Dolphins are going to rely on Hill to give the offense a spark with De’Von Achane. Over the last two weeks Hill has seen 26 targets and it’s a good bet that he’ll see another 12-14 targets on Sunday Night. That should set him up with plenty of opportunity to hit the over here.

Gambling Problem? Call (877-8-HOPENY) or text HOPENY (467369).

If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, crisis counseling and referral services can be accessed by calling 1-800-GAMBLER (1-800-426-2537) (IL/IN/MI/NJ/PA/WV/WY), 1-800-NEXT STEP (AZ), 1-800-522-4700 (CO/NH), 888-789-7777/visit ccpg.org/chat (CT), 1-800-BETS OFF (IA), 1-877-770-STOP (7867) (LA), visit OPGR.org (OR), call/text TN REDLINE 1-800-889-9789 (TN), or 1-888-532-3500 (VA).

Odds and lines subject to change. 21+ (18+ NH/WY). AZ/CO/CT/IL/IN/IA/LA/MI/NH/NJ/NY/OR/PA/TN/VA/WV/WY only. Eligibility restrictions apply. See draftkings.com/sportsbook for full terms and conditions.