Yes, ‘Will Travis Kelce propose to Taylor Swift?’ is a real Super Bowl prop bet with odds
For better or for worse, the Travis Kelce and Taylor Swift takeover continues. The NFL’s most famous couple of all time has permeated the betting world with multiple exotic props. But one particular yes or no prop on FanDuel Canada — tied to question millions are asking — has really raised eyebrows.
“Will Travis Kelce propose to Taylor Swift?”
Yes, we’re dead serious. You can actually bet on that. As tweeted out by betting insider Ben Fawkes, FanDuel’s opening odds were at +190 for yes and -250 for no — with those odds RAPIDLY adjusting to +1120 for yes and -3500 within 30 minutes.
We should mention that the opening odds — +190 for yes and -250 for no — implied a probability of just under 35 percent that Kelce will drop to one knee at Allegiant Stadium on February 11. Like it or not, that would probably break the internet.
You have to give FanDuel its flowers (or throw ’em the bouquet?). One of the three major sportsbooks that comprises the NFL’s tri-exclusive betting partnership, these guys know how to drum up some action. The interest level in this kind of prop extends far beyond the typical 25-40 male demographic. This kind of prop targets the hundreds of millions of women who call themselves T-Swift fans.Â
But how do we, as analysts, approach this hypothetical exotic prop? Who knows, but we will channel our inner romantic and do our best.
Will Travis Kelce propose to Taylor Swift?First off, it’s important to note that the not-so-fine print within this prop calls for the proposal to occur “on the field after the game.” Even though that’s the time everyone would expect it to happen if next Sunday was indeed the day it happens, it’s hard to feel confident about a prop that calls for something to happen in such a narrow window.Â
‘Yes’ bettors would also basically be betting on two things: (1) the Chiefs to win and (2) Kelce to propose. Kansas City isn’t getting the field and the dozens of cameras and mics on the field if the 49ers win this game (San Francisco is still favored -2, by the way).
Even if the NFL’s greatest pass-catching tight end planned to propose, would he really go through with it after a loss? Yogi Berra once said “it’s bad luck to be superstitious,” but deep down we would all be thinking it’s bad juju to pledge his forever love after one of the toughest losses of his career.
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If that on-field kiss is any indication, we have no doubt Kelce is in love with Swift. Taylor even appeared to mouth “love you” to her No. 1 boo thang before they parted ways. And six-eight months in celebrity time is years to the common man and woman. Let’s face it: it’s going to happen.Â
We just can’t possibly guess that it will happen on Sunday, Feb. 11 during the 20-minute window between the Super Bowl ending and the broadcast concluding. If this prop was “Will Travis Kelce propose to Taylor Swift?” without the “proposal must be on field after the game” stipulation, we’d jump at the opportunity. That would be like making a futures bet, with solid value. This — this feels like it has very little value whatsoever.
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But we get it, boys and girls of Swiftie Nation, many of you will be undeterred when it comes to betting yes on this prop. If you’re bullish on Killa Trav putting a ring on it, you might as well make yourself a little parlay to boost your potential payout. Hear us out.
If you think there’s a chance of Kelce proposing on the field after the game, then you obviously believe Kansas City will win this game. So, parlay the Chiefs’ +110 moneyline with the +190 odds on Kelce proposing and you can bag total odds of over +500. That would net you over $100 on a $20 wager, or a whopping $509 on a $100 stake!
It would also buy you one of the coolest and most bizarre betting stories of your life, one that you could tell on first dates, at family dinners, during cookouts, and at your kids’ birthday parties. We won’t roll the dice on this one, but we totally understand why millions of men and women of all ages probably will.
One thing’s for sure: if Travis does ask for Taylor’s hand in marriage, she’s 100 percent accepting. You don’t need to be a betting expert to know true love when you see it. But we don’t hope for outcomes or cross our fingers in our profession — we deal in value and probability.
Acting strictly as betting analysts, we have to advise you to fade this prop and let someone else gamble on love. Plenty of other Kelce and Swift props will “pop” up in the coming days, so be patient and wait for the right moment. As anyone in a loving marriage can attest, good things happen to those who wait.Â
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