Preview: Mozambique vs. Mali

Sports Mole previews Friday’s Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Mozambique and Mali, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Two sides level on points in Group I of the 2025 Africa Cup of Nations qualifiers go head to head on Friday as Mozambique play host to Mali at the Estadio do Zimpeto.

Geny Catamo and Yves Bissouma scored for either side in a 1-1 stalemate back in September’s reverse clash and we anticipate another end-to-end affair in Maputo this weekend.

Match preview
© Imago

Mozambique picked up three huge points in their push for a place in Morocco next year as they edged out Eswatini 3-0 when the two nations squared off at the Mbombela Stadium on October 14.

In an action-packed contest, Domingues and Stanley Ratifo scored first-half hold to put the visitors in a commanding lead before Sporting Lisbon forward Catamo put the result beyond reach with a 59th-minute effort.

This followed a somewhat disappointing 1-1 draw with Eswatini in the first of their Group I double-header on October 12, when Thubelihle Mavuso netted in the 80th minute to help the Sihlangu Semnikati salvage a point at the Estadio do Zimpeto.

Mozambique are one of 15 sides yet to suffer defeat in the AFCON qualifiers, claiming two wins and two draws to collect eight points and sit top of the Group I standings, only above Friday’s visitors on goal difference.

Mali, on the other hand, failed to move top of the Group I last time out as they played out a goalless draw with Guinea-Bissau in the second of their October double-header.

In an action-packed contest at the Estadio Nacional 24 de Setembro, Les Aigles were guilty of a lack of sting in front of goal as they failed to finish off several clear-cut chances before settling for a share of the spoils.

Before that, Mali kicked off their quest for a place in the 2025 AFCON with a 1-1 draw against Mozambique in September’s group curtain-raiser before claiming consecutive 1-0 victories over Eswatini and Guinea-Bissau respectively.

Eric Chelle’s men have featured in each of the last nine editions of the continental showpiece, stretching back to their absence in 2006, and could guarantee their spot in Morocco next year with a win at the Estadio do Zimpeto this weekend.

Mali now take on a Mozambique side against whom they are unbeaten against in their previous two encounters, claiming a 2-1 victory in January 2015, before salvaging a 1-1 in September’s reverse fixtures courtesy of a second-half strike from Tottenham man Bissouma.

Mozambique Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying form:

Mozambique form (all competitions):

Mali Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying form:

Mali form (all competitions):

Team News
© Imago

Mozambique could name a similar XI from their standout display against Eswatini, meaning Bruno Langa, Fernando Chambuco, Infren Matola and Atletico Madrid defender Reinildo Mandava, could form the back four once again.

Feliciano Jone and Bulgaria-based Alfonso Amade are among seven midfielders named in the squad and they should team up at the centre of the park while Catamo, Clesio Blaque and 29-year-old Ratifo should spearhead the attack.

Mali have named a 25-man list for November’s games against Mozambique and Eswatini, including Stuttgart’s El Bilal Toure and Ferencvaros striker Adama Traore, who is the second-most capped player in the squad (60 appearances).

Fode Doucoure, Abdoulaye Diaby, Mamadou Fofana and Palermo’s Salim Diakite have started all four qualifying games and should retain their roles at the defensive end of the pitch, with Young African Sports Club man Djigui Diarra starting in goal.

Up top, El Bilal Toure should lead the three-man attack with Bissouma and former Southampton man Moussa Djenepo while we expect Mohamed Camara and 27-year-old Aliou Dieng to team up in midfield.

Mozambique possible starting lineup:
Ernani; Langa, Chambuco, Reinildo, Matola; Jone, Amade; Catamo, Santos, Blaque; Ratifo

Mali possible starting lineup:
Diarra; Doucoure, Diaby, Fofana, Diakite; Sangare, Dieng, Camara; Djenepo, Bissouma, Toure

We say: Mozambique 1-2 Mali
With Mozambique and Mali level on points at the top of the table, we anticipate a thrilling contest at the Estadio do Zimpeto as they look to get the better of each other and move into pole piston in Group I. While Mozambique have home advantage, Chelle’s men are stronger on paper and we are tipping them to come away with a close victory on Friday.

For data analysis of the most likely results, scorelines and more for this match please click here.

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