2025 PGA Championship odds, picks: Rory McIlroy, Scottie Scheffler predictions by top Masters-winning model

The PGA Tour has seen streak-busting performances as the 2025 PGA Championship approaches on Thursday, May 15. Rory McIlroy picked up his first green jacket after 17 tries as also completed his career grand slam at the Masters. Justin Thomas ended a three-year drought without a win, taking the RBC Heritage in Hilton Head the following week. World No. 1 Scottie Scheffler got on the board with a record-setting win this year at the CJ Cup Byron Nelson. Should you back one of the favorites in the 2025 PGA Championship odds, or go with one of the 2025 PGA Championship longshots like Shane Lowry, Hideki Matsuyama or Brooks Koepka? Before locking in your 2025 PGA Championship picks or entering any PGA DFS tournaments on sites like DraftKings and FanDuel, be sure to see the golf predictions and projected leaderboard from the proven computer model at SportsLine.

SportsLine’s proprietary model, built by DFS pro Mike McClure, has been red-hot since the PGA Tour resumed in June 2020. In fact, the model is up more than $9,000 on its best bets since the restart, nailing tournament after tournament.

This same model has also nailed a whopping 14 majors entering the weekend, including the 2025 Masters, its fourth Masters in a row, and last year’s PGA Championship and U.S. Open. Anyone who has followed its sports betting picks could have seen massive returns on betting apps like FanDuel, DraftKings and Fanatics. 

Now that the 2025 PGA Championship field is locked in and fans are deciding where to bet the PGA Championship, SportsLine simulated the tournament 10,000 times, and the results were surprising. Head to SportsLine now to see the projected leaderboard and get the latest PGA Championship promo codes.

2025 PGA Championship predictions for Scottie Scheffler, Rory McIlroy, Xander SchauffeleOne shocker the model is calling at the PGA Championship 2025: Xander Schauffele, the defending champion and a two-time major winner, barely cracks the top 10 of the leaderboard. Schauffele broke through for his first major title at the PGA Championship in 2024, beating DeChambeau by one stroke. He went on to win the Open Championship at Royal Troon last July, but he hasn’t tasted victory since. 

Schauffele dealt with a rib injury early in 2025 that caused him to miss two months of action. The 31-year-old has recorded just one top-10 finish this season, and he’s been widely inconsistent off the tee, which will be a major issue at a course like Quail Hollow. Schauffele enters the 2025 PGA Championship ranked 158th in driving accuracy (54.17%) and 162nd in strokes gained: off the tee (-0.439). He also ranks outside the top 150 in scoring average (71.04), scrambling (55.80%) and one-putt percentage (38.19%). Schauffele is going off at 19-1 at FanDuel Sportsbook.

The model has also locked in its projection for Rory McIlroy, a five-time major winner and the newest Grand Slam champion. McIlroy has accumulated 27 career victories on the PGA Tour, including three wins already in 2025. He began the year by winning the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am, followed by a victory at the Players Championship, and most recently, he completed a career Grand Slam by winning the 2025 Masters.

McIlroy has a lengthy track record of success at Quail Hollow. He has finished on top of the leaderboard four times at Quail Hollow, while also recording a runner-up finish and four other top-10 finishes there. McIlroy’s familiarity with the course, coupled with his recent play, is a big reason why he’s among the top favorites to win the 2025 PGA Championship .

Meanwhile, the model has examined Scottie Scheffler’s chances of winning his first major outside of Augusta National. It’s hard to consider the 2025 season a disappointment since he had finished T25 or better in every event thus far. He took fourth at the Masters, T3 at the Genesis Invitational and T2 at the Houston Open.

Still, Scheffler was undoubtedly relieved to win at the CJ Cup Byron Nelson in his home state as he picked up his first victory since last September. Scheffler has been a top-10 machine at the PGA Championship, finishing T8 or better in four of his last five appearances. He’s still looking for his first major win outside of Augusta, and McIlroy is chasing him for top-ranked status in the world rankings. See the full PGA Championship projections from the model here.

How to make 2025 PGA Championship picksThe model is also targeting four golfers with odds longer than 20-1 who will make a strong run at the title. Anyone who backs these longshots could hit it big. You can only see the model’s picks here.

Who will win the 2025 PGA Championship, which longshots will stun the golfing world, and where will Scottie Scheffler and Rory McIlroy finish? Check out the latest 2025 PGA Championship odds below and then visit SportsLine to see the projected leaderboard, all from the model that’s nailed 14 golf majors, including the last four Masters and three majors in 2024.

2025 PGA Championship odds, favorites Get full 2025 PGA Championship picks, best bets and predictions here. 

Scottie Scheffler +450
Rory McIlroy +480
Bryson Dechambeau +1000
Ludvig Aberg +1900
Xander Schauffele +1900
Jon Rahm +2000
Collin Morikawa +2100
Justin Thomas +2100
Joaquin Niemann +2800
Viktor Hovland +3400
Jordan Spieth +4100
Brooks Koepka +4400
Tommy Fleetwood +4400
Patrick Cantlay +4400
Will Zalatoris +4600
Hideki Matsuyama +4800
Tyrrell Hatton +5000
Matt Fitzpatrick +5500
Si Woo Kim +5500
Tom Kim +5500
Shane Lowry +6500
Jason Day +6500
Russell Henley +6500
Patrick Reed +7000
Justin Rose +7000
Dustin Johnson +7500
Sungjae Im +7500
Sahith Theegala +7500
Min Woo Lee +8000
Akshay Bhatia +8000
Corey Conners +8500
Cameron Young +9000
Brian Harman +9000
Davis Thompson +9000
Cameron Smith +9500
Wyndham Clark +9500
Sepp Straka +10000
Maverick McNealy +10000
Max Homa +11000
Robert MacIntyre +12000
Nicolai Hojgaard +12000
Tony Finau +14000
Sam Burns +15000
Adam Scott +15000
Rickie Fowler +15000
Billy Horschel +16000
Dean Burmester +16000
Taylor Pendrith +16000
Talor Gooch +16000
Byeong Hun An +16000
Keegan Bradley +17000
Thomas Detry +17000
Stephan Jaeger +19000
Aaron Rai +19000
Nick Dunlap +19000
Keita Nakajima +19000
Harris English +19000
Rasmus Hojgaard +19000
Cameron Davis +19000
Matt McCarty +19000
Nick Taylor +19000
Davis Riley +19000