Elena Rybakina vs Markéta Vondroušová Preview — Head-to-Head and Prediction for US Open 2025

Elena Rybakina looks to extend her impressive US Open run when she takes on Czech Markéta Vondroušová in the fourth round. The Kazakh enjoyed a stellar lead-up, reaching the semifinals in Washington DC, Montreal, and Cincinnati, and carried that momentum into Flushing Meadows. She overcame home favorite Julieta Pareja, Tereza Valentova, and former US Open champion Emma Raducanu to reach this stage.

Vondroušová, meanwhile, endured an underwhelming lead-up with second-round exits in Montreal and Cincinnati, but she now looks to reverse her fortunes at the US Open. The 2023 Wimbledon champion has advanced to the fourth round after defeating Oksana Selekhmeteva, home favorite McCartney Kessler, and seventh seed Jasmine Paolini in straight sets.

Elena Rybakina vs. Markéta Vondroušová Match Details

Date: August 31, 2025
Tournament: US Open
Round: Fourth Round
Venue: USTA Billie Jean King National Tennis Center, Flushing Meadows, Queens, New York City
Category: Grand Slam
Surface: Outdoor hard
Live telecast: ESPN, ESPN2, and ESPN+, Hulu + Live TV, YouTube TV and Sling TV

Rybakina vs Vondroušová Head-to-Head
The rivalry between the two is still in its early stages, with just two meetings on tour so far. Their head-to-head is tied at 1-1, giving both players confidence heading into their US Open clash.

Their previous encounter took place at the Italian Open in 2023, with Rybakina easily prevailing with a 6-3, 6-3 scoreline.

Rybakina vs Vondroušová Prediction
After strong showings in the North American hard-court swing, Rybakina aims to carry her momentum into the US Open fourth round. The Kazakh appears back in rhythm and could prove a formidable challenge to the 2023 Wimbledon champion.

Rybakina comes into the contest boasting a solid 44-16 win-loss record, with her powerful serve giving her a clear edge. The 26-year-old has held nearly 82% of her service games this season and fired 359 aces. Her resilience is also evident in her ability to save break points, having successfully defended 66% of them.

MORE: Elena Rybakina Makes Feelings Crystal Clear on Previously Banned Coach Stefano Vukov’s US Open Involvement

Vondroušová, meanwhile, is behind in service games won at 68.2%, but her return game is notably stronger than Rybakina’s, winning 42.4% of points compared to the Kazakh’s 32.2%. On hard courts, however, she trails with a 62.0% win rate, below Rybakina’s 67.5%.

What adds to the Czech’s concern is her lead-up, marked by two consecutive second-round exits, although she showed signs of improvement when it mattered the most in Flushing Meadows. In fact, her straight-set win over seventh seed Paolini shouldn’t be forgotten.

Although the match promises to be intense, Rybakina’s higher seeding and sustained form make her the favorite to prevail.

Prediction: Rybakina to win in three sets.