Every NFL Team’s Biggest Fantasy Football Value in 2024
Gary Davenport@@IDPSharksFeatured Columnist IVJuly 9, 2024Every NFL Team’s Biggest Fantasy Football Value in 20240 of 8
Raheem MostertCooper Neill/Getty Images
Independence Day has come and gone. Drafting in the Scott Fish Bowl (a massive charity fantasy league featuring thousands of participants) is underway. It’s official.
Fantasy football draft season is here.
Now, most leagues still won’t be drafting for a while. Many fantasy managers are still firmly in offseason mode.
But you aren’t most fantasy managers. Oh no. You want that championship. And you know that winning it takes homework. Researching players who represent the kinds of values that get teams to the playoffs (or risks that can sink a season before Halloween).
Every NFL team has both, from Arizona to Washington. Overhyped players set to disappoint. Undervalued players whose early price tag doesn’t match their potential to rack up fantasy points come the fall.
In the spirit of positive thinking (draft season is all about hope, after all), it’s the latter that’s the focus here—relative to their average draft position, the most undervalued fantasy asset on every NFL team in 2024.
Fantasy Scoring Data courtesy of FF Today
Average Draft Position Data courtesy of Fantasy Pros.
AFC East1 of 8
Raheem MostertBrandon Sloter/Image Of Sport/Getty Images
Buffalo Bills
WR Curtis Samuel (ADP: WR50)
The departure of Stefon Diggs and Gabe Davis in the offseason has thrown the Buffalo passing attack into chaos. But someone is going to have to emerge as Josh Allen’s new favorite wide receiver, and Samuel is easily the most proven wideout on the team. As late-round dart throws go, fantasy managers could do a lot worse.
Miami Dolphins
RB Raheem Mostert (ADP: RB28)
Yes, Mostert is 32 years old. He’s also unlikely to score 18 rushing touchdowns again in 2024. But last year’s No. 5 running back in PPR points falling all the way to RB3 territory is a little bananas. If Mostert comes anywhere near last year’s role and fantasy production, the veteran is going to be a fantasy league-winner for a second straight season.
New England Patriots
RB Rhamondre Stevenson (ADP: RB19)
OK, so it’s admittedly not easy to get excited about any Patriots players from a fantasy perspective in 2024. This was a bad offensive team a year ago, and the prospects for this season aren’t much better. But Stevenson surpassed 1,400 yards from scrimmage and averaged five yards per carry two years ago. And his price tag could come down even further if (when) the New England offense looks choppy in camp.
New York Jets
WR Mike Williams (ADP: WR60)
Injuries are a perennial concern with Williams, who missed almost all of the 2023 campaign with an ACL tear. But as recently as 2022, Williams was a top-25 wide receiver in terms of PPR points per game, and playing opposite Garrett Wilson should mean lots of single coverage. He’s a steal at this modest ADP if he can stay healthy.
NFC East2 of 8
Dak PrescottPerry Knotts/Getty Images
Dallas Cowboys
QB Dak Prescott (ADP: QB9)
Last year, Prescott was one of three quarterbacks to eclipse 4,500 passing yards, led the league in touchdown passes and finished third among quarterbacks in fantasy points. Given the questions surrounding the Dallas ground game, the Cowboys could easily be one of the more pass-heavy offenses in the NFL this season.
New York Giants
RB Devin Singletary (ADP: RB34)
Singletary has quietly averaged 4.6 yards per carry for his career and has topped 1,000 yards from scrimmage each of the past three seasons. From Week 10 on last year, when Singletary was the unquestioned lead back for the Houston Texans, he was eighth among running backs in fantasy points. He’s an ideal later-round target for “Zero RB” enthusiasts this season.
Philadelphia Eagles
WR DeVonta Smith (ADP: WR18)
“Value” is something of a relative concept where Philly’s loaded offense is concerned—if you want a share of the Eagles, fantasy managers are going to have to pay retail. But Smith’s ADP of mid-range WR2 territory is likely closer to the fourth-year pro’s fantasy floor than his ceiling—and he’s one A.J. Brown injury from the fantasy stratosphere.
Washington Commanders
WR Terry McLaurin (ADP: WR32)
The 2023 season wasn’t kind to the wide receivers in the nation’s capital—McLaurin is currently being drafted in the exact same slot he finished last year in PPR points. But if you believe at all in rookie quarterback Jayden Daniels, then all the pass-catchers for the Commanders should benefit—McLaurin most assuredly included.
AFC North3 of 8
Amari CooperRyan Kang/Getty Images
Baltimore Ravens
TE Mark Andrews (ADP: TE4)
There are two types of fantasy options in Baltimore—high-end guys with lofty price tags and late-round afterthoughts. Andrews admittedly falls into the former category, but a healthy Andrews has a legitimate chance to challenge for the No. 1 spot at his position—with an ADP over a round later than the first tight end off the board on average.
Cincinnati Bengals
RB Zack Moss (ADP: RB27)
Moss played well in Jonathan Taylor’s stead last year in Indianapolis, flirting with 1,000 yards from scrimmage and recording a pair of starts in which the 26-year-old posted more than 120 yards on the ground. Moss also set a career best in receptions last season. If he can get a significant share of the passing-down work in Cincinnati, he could be an inexpensive source of RB2 numbers.
Cleveland Browns
WR Amari Cooper (ADP: WR30)
Despite missing two games last year, Cooper set a new career high in receiving yards with 1,250 on the way to a top-20 fantasy season in terms of points per game. Yes, the Browns acquired Jerry Jeudy in the offseason, but if you have any confidence at all in Deshaun Watson in 2024, Cooper is a bargain with a mid-range WR3 price tag.
Pittsburgh Steelers
WR George Pickens (ADP: WR27)
Pickens is something of a poster child for the depth available to fantasy managers at wide receiver in 2024—he’s an unquestioned No. 1 wideout who should lead his team in targets, receptions and yards, yet he’s available after 25 wideouts are off the board. If he clicks with Russell Wilson (or Justin Fields) this year, there’s real breakout potential here.
NFC North4 of 8
Jared GoffKevin Sabitus/Getty Images
Chicago Bears
WR Keenan Allen (ADP: WR33)
It was tempting to include tight end Cole Kmet here. But the value with Allen just cannot be ignored. Last year, Allen hit 100 receptions for the fourth time in five years and surpassed 1,100 yards for the third time over that span. It won’t be a major upset if Allen records more PPR points this season than DJ Moore—for a fraction of the price on draft day.
Detroit Lions
QB Jared Goff (ADP: QB12)
In 2023, Goff paced the NFC with 4,575 passing yards, threw the fourth-most touchdown passes in the league (30) and finished a respectable seventh among quarterbacks in fantasy points. Goff doesn’t offer much rushing upside, but at the helm of a loaded offense, he’s a serviceable weekly starter available at the back end of fantasy QB1 territory.
Green Bay Packers
WR Christian Watson (ADP: WR44)
When healthy, Watson has displayed legitimate fantasy WR1 upside, although hamstring injuries have cost him 11 games over two seasons. Watson has reportedly spent the offseason training to avoid a repeat of those injuries in 2024. If he can stay on the field, Watson will easily out-produce his eighth-round asking price.
Minnesota Vikings
RB Aaron Jones (ADP: RB20)
Questions at quarterback have depressed the fantasy value of just about every Vikings player not named Justin Jefferson. But those questions under center could easily lead to Minnesota leaning more heavily on Jones and the run game, and the 29-year-old surpassed 1,500 yards from scrimmage and was a top-10 fantasy option as recently as two years ago.
AFC South5 of 8
Evan EngramWesley Hitt/Getty Images
Houston Texans
TE Dalton Schultz (ADP: TE13)
There is certainly no shortage of hype surrounding young quarterback C.J. Stroud and the Texans wide receivers this year—three Houston wideouts are off the board by the end of Round 3 on average. But the hullabaloo doesn’t extend to Schultz, despite logging the second-most receiving yards of his career last year on the way to a top-10 fantasy finish at his position.
Indianapolis Colts
WR Michael Pittman Jr. (ADP: WR24)
Fantasy expectations for young quarterback Anthony Richardson are sky-high in 2024, but those lofty expectations don’t appear to be extending to the team’s unquestioned No. 1 receiver. Pittman caught 109 passes and finished inside the top 15 in PPR points last year. Getting him almost 10 slots later than that on draft day is a nice little bargain.
Jacksonville Jaguars
TE Evan Engram (ADP: TE7)
All Engram did last year was lead all fantasy tight ends in targets (143), receptions (114) and posted more PPR fantasy points than any tight end in the AFC. Many in the fantasy community apparently view that huge year as an aberration, but even if Engram backslides a bit, he’ll still be a value with an ADP outside the top five at the position.
Tennessee Titans
WR Calvin Ridley (ADP: WR36)
Ridley’s lone season with the Jacksonville Jaguars was relatively successful—the 29-year-old topped 75 catches and 1,000 yards, scored eight times and finished as a top-20 fantasy WR in PPR points. If Will Levis can be remotely capable as Tennessee’s quarterback, then both Ridley and batterymate DeAndre Hopkins will be fantasy values in 2024.
NFC South6 of 8
Alvin KamaraKevin Sabitus/Getty Images
Atlanta Falcons
WR Darnell Mooney (ADP: WR67)
The arrival of quarterback Kirk Cousins in Atlanta has ratcheted up expectations for wide receiver Drake London and tight end Kyle Pitts, but Mooney is flying under the radar so far this summer. This is a player with a 1,000-yard season on his professional resume, and Mooney should benefit from the coverage that London and Pitts will draw from opposing quarterbacks.
Carolina Panthers
WR Adam Thielen (ADP: WR71)
All Thielen did in 2023 was top 100 receptions for the second time, post the third 1,000-yard season of his career and finish among the top 20 fantasy wideouts. Yes, the team added veteran Diontae Johnson and rookie Xavier Legette in the offseason, but the presumption that Thielen’s role in the offense is going to evaporate completely doesn’t make a ton of sense.
New Orleans Saints
RB Alvin Kamara (ADP: RB17)
Frankly, there isn’t a ton of value to be had with the fantasy options in New Orleans this year. But if Kamara can rebound from a rocky 2023, he has the potential to post another top-10 RB finish. Even in that “down” season a year ago, Kamara topped 1,100 yards from scrimmage, caught 75 passes and finished 12th among all running backs in PPR points.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
WR Mike Evans (ADP: WR17)
All Evans has ever done in the NFL is post 1,000-yard seasons—10 in as many seasons. He also paced all pass-catchers last year with 13 touchdowns on the way to a seventh-place finish in fantasy points at his position. Yes, Evans will be 31 when the 2024 season starts. But he has given zero indication that any significant drop-off is coming anytime soon.
AFC West7 of 8
Javonte WilliamsPerry Knotts/Getty Images
Denver Broncos
RB Javonte Williams (ADP: RB33)
The Denver offense is essentially one massive question mark this season, largely due to uncertainty at quarterback. Williams only averaged 3.6 yards per carry for the Broncos last year, but he squeaked past 1,000 yards from scrimmage and caught a career-high 47 passes. He’s another solid target for the “wait to draft running backs” crowd.
Kansas City Chiefs
WR Marquise Brown (ADP: WR32)
There will be no shortage of hype surrounding rookie Xavier Worthy as we move through camp, and Rashee Rice’s legal issues and potential suspension add some uncertainty to the WR room for the two-time defending champs. But Brown is the most proven wideout on the team and a player who could be headed for the best season of his career.
Las Vegas Raiders
WR Davante Adams (ADP: WR13)
Yes, the quarterback situation in Sin City is less than ideal. But it wasn’t any better a year ago, and Adams caught 103 passes, topped 1,100 receiving yards, found the end zone eight times and was a top-10 fantasy receiver. No wide receiver in the AFC was targeted more last season than Adams, but he’s being drafted as a high-end fantasy WR2. There’s value to be had here.
Los Angeles Chargers
QB Justin Herbert (ADP: QB15)
There was a time not that long ago when Herbert was viewed as a top-five fantasy quarterback. But four missed games a season ago, major changes at wide receiver and a new head coach in Jim Harbaugh have sent Herbert’s value plummeting into QB2 territory. Take advantage of an overreaction by fantasy drafters and get considerable upside at a discount.
NFC West8 of 8
George KittleRyan Kang/Getty Images
Arizona Cardinals
RB James Conner (ADP: RB26)
The selection of Trey Benson would seem to indicate that Conner’s days as the lead back in Arizona are numbered. But the 29-year-old set a career high last season with 1,040 yards on the ground, averaged five yards per tote and was a top-20 fantasy RB option. In three years in the desert, Conner has hit 1,000 yards from scrimmage and eight touchdowns.
Los Angeles Rams
QB Matthew Stafford (ADP: QB19)
Not all that long ago (2021) Stafford was a top-five fantasy quarterback. He hasn’t been as productive the past two seasons, but in Puka Nacua and Cooper Kupp, Stafford has one of the better one-two punches at wide receiver in the league. Add in Sean McVay’s offensive acumen, and you have a real chance at top-10 QB numbers on the cheap.
San Francisco 49ers
TE George Kittle (ADP: TE8)
Kittle’s ADP is likely a function of his age, a loaded San Francisco offense and the belief that it will be difficult for the 30-year-old to back up last year’s 1,000-yard campaign. But Kittle has three straight top-six PPR finishes among tight ends—he’s an excellent target for managers looking to exercise a little draft-day patience at the position.
Seattle Seahawks
WR Tyler Lockett (ADP: WR51)
The fantasy community apparently sees a changing of the guard coming in the Emerald City—second-year pro Jaxon Smith-Njigba is coming off draft boards ahead of Lockett. But as recently as 2022, Lockett topped 80 catches and 1,000 yards, scored eight touchdowns and finished as a top-15 fantasy receiver. Don’t give up on the veteran just yet.
Gary Davenport is a two-time Fantasy Sports Writers Association Football Writer of the Year. Follow him on X at @IDPSharks.
