Fantasy Football Rankings 2024: Busts from top-rated NFL model that nailed Jaylen Waddle’s down season

Fantasy football owners know drafting a player who doesn’t live up to expectations can be detrimental to their championship dreams. For instance, Justin Herbert had thrown for at least 31 touchdowns in two of his first three seasons entering the 2023 campaign, and owners drafted the quarterback in hopes that he’d produce similar results. Unfortunately, he failed to live up to the hype in 2023. In fact, Herbert was one of the biggest Fantasy football busts last season, finishing with just 20 touchdown passes and 3,134 passing yards, which ranked 18th in the NFL.

In order to avoid drafting 2024 Fantasy football busts that can derail your entire season, you’ll need a set of 2024 Fantasy football rankings you can trust. As you begin your 2024 Fantasy football draft prep, be sure to check out the 2024 Fantasy football cheat sheets from the proven computer model at SportsLine.

Last year, the model accurately predicted that Dolphins wide receiver Jaylen Waddle would fail to live up to his Fantasy football ADP. Waddle’s 2023 Fantasy football ADP was 34.86 overall and he was the 11th receiver off the board on average. He’d go on to notch a 1,000-yard season but only had 72 receptions with four touchdowns and he’d finish as the No. 34 Fantasy football wide receiver in CBS Sports PPR leagues.

The same model has a proven track record providing Fantasy football tips, identifying A.J. Brown as a sleeper in 2020 and nailing Jonathan Taylor’s monstrous season in 2021. Additionally, it’s called past Fantasy football sleepers like Derrick Henry in 2019, Christian McCaffrey and Alvin Kamara in 2018, and Davante Adams in 2017. Anybody who banked on players like those made a run at their league title.

The model is powered by the same people who generated projections for all three major Fantasy sites, and it beat human experts last season when there was a big difference in ranking. The 2024 Fantasy football PPR rankings and 2024 Fantasy football standard projections update multiple times daily, so you’re always getting the best Fantasy football advice.

Now, SportsLine has simulated the entire NFL season 10,000 times and released its latest Fantasy football rankings 2024, along with plenty of sleepers, breakouts and busts. Head to SportsLine now to see them. 

Top 2024 Fantasy football bustsOne of the 2024 Fantasy football busts the model is predicting: Bears wide receiver Keenan Allen. He has been one of the most productive Fantasy receivers throughout his career. He’s scored six or more receiving touchdowns in six of his last seven seasons with the Chargers.

However, a new team, a crowded receiving corps, and a rookie quarterback are likely to rein in Allen’s numbers in 2024. The 32-year-old will share the field with D.J. Moore and first-rounder Rome Odunze while catching passes from rookie No. 1 overall pick Caleb Williams. Allen likely won’t have the 8.5 or more targets per game he’s enjoyed in each of his last seven seasons. That’s why the model ranks Allen, who’s being drafted in the 10th round on average, behind fellow receivers like Malik Nabers, Xavier Worthy and Courtland Sutton.

Another bust that SportsLine’s Fantasy football rankings 2024 have identified: Dolphins quarterback Tua Tagovailoa. Tagovailoa had a remarkable season in 2023. He led the league in passing yards with 4,624 and finished with 29 passing touchdowns. However, Tagovailoa struggled down the stretch late last season when Fantasy managers needed production the most.

He was QB4 through the first eight weeks of the 2023 season and QB10 through Week 13. From that point forward, Tagovailoa had just one game with more than 240 yards passing and only one game with multiple touchdown passes. The model has Tagovailoa ranked outside the top 15 Fantasy football quarterbacks in its 2024 Fantasy football rankings, making him one of the top Fantasy football busts to avoid on draft day. See which other Fantasy football busts 2024 to avoid here.

How to find proven 2024 Fantasy football rankingsSportsLine is also low on a wide receiver who is being drafted as a top-15 player at his position. The model ranks him outside its top 20 wide receivers for 2024 and expects him to see major regression. You can only see who it is, and the 2024 Fantasy football rankings for every player, at SportsLine.

So which 2024 Fantasy Football busts should you avoid, and which receiver will fail to live up to expectations? Visit SportsLine now to get 2024 Fantasy Football cheat sheets for every single position, all from the model that told you to avoid Jaylen Waddle in 2023, and find out.