NFL Picks Against the Spread: Week 11 Games
Before the eleventh Sunday of the 2024 NFL regular season kicks off, let’s have some fun by taking a look at the lines for the Week 11 games.
You can CLICK HERE for straight up NFL picks without regard to the spread. You can find all of the NFL betting lines via FanDuel.
My overall record is 71-79-2, which is well behind the collective BGN community at 83-67-2. I’ve been riding the struggle bus.
Here are suggestions when trying to beat the odds.
JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS at DETROIT LIONS (-13.5): Seven of the Jags’ games this season have been decided by one score. And they’re 1-6 straight up in those. The Jags have been unlucky and they’re due for some good fortune here. PICK: Jaguars +13.5
Poll
Which bet do you like more?
34%
65%
227 votes total
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GREEN BAY PACKERS (-5.5) at CHICAGO BEARS: The Bears have lost four straight games. They’re bad. The Packers are well-rested coming off their bye. PICK: Packers -5.5
Poll
Which bet do you like more?
84%
15%
215 votes total
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LOS ANGELES RAMS (-3.5) at NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS: Interesting. Doesn’t seem like a great situation for the Rams since they’re a West Coast team making a 1:00 PM start across the country … while coming off short rest from playing on Monday. The Pats don’t quite have the horses to be great but they have been feisty. PICK: Patriots +3.5
Poll
Which bet do you like more?
62%
37%
203 votes total
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CLEVELAND BROWNS (-1.5) at NEW ORLEANS SAINTS: The Saints’ win last week was a classic case of the immediate interim head coach bump. They’ll fall back to Earth here. Plus, I think Jameis Winston’s teammates like him and want him to get a win against his former squad. And Cleveland is coming off their bye. PICK: Browns -1.5
Poll
Which bet do you like more?
47%
52%
198 votes total
Vote Now
MINNESOTA VIKINGS (-5.5) at TENNESSEE TITANS: Sam Darnold is turning back into a pumpkin and he’s going up against a solid defense. But Will Levis has been pretty brutal. Brian Flores can probably force him into some turnovers. PICK: Vikings -5.5
Poll
Which bet do you like more?
83%
16%
196 votes total
Vote Now
INDIANAPOLIS COLTS at NEW YORK JETS (-3.5): The Jets are so bad, man. Putting any trust in them feels foolish. Maybe Anthony Richardson’s benching will help him play better? PICK: Colts +3.5
Poll
Which bet do you like more?
68%
31%
193 votes total
Vote Now
LAS VEGAS RAIDERS at MIAMI DOLPHINS (-7): The Dolphins have been much more competent since Tua Tagovailoa’s return. The Raiders have been more bad than good. PICK: Dolphins -7
Poll
Which bet do you like more?
19%
80%
178 votes total
Vote Now
BALTIMORE RAVENS (-3) at PITTSBURGH STEELERS: You’d have to be insane to bet against Mike Tomlin as a home underdog. He’s 19-6-3 against the spread in those situations since he was hired in 2007. No team has a better cover percentage in that span. PICK: Steelers +3
Poll
Which bet do you like more?
47%
52%
183 votes total
Vote Now
SEATTLE SEAHAWKS at SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS (-6.5): The Seahawks are an unserious team that can’t hang with the big boys. The Niners may have found their footing after winning their last two. PICK: 49ers -6.5
Poll
Which bet do you like more?
29%
70%
174 votes total
Vote Now
ATLANTA FALCONS at DENVER BRONCOS (-1.5): The Broncos rank better than the Falcons in DVOA and point differential. Denver should be favored by more. This is a steal. PICK: Broncos -1.5
Poll
Which bet do you like more?
35%
64%
175 votes total
Vote Now
KANSAS CITY CHIEFS at BUFFALO BILLS (-2.5): I’m not believing the Chiefs lose until I see it happen. I’ll take Patrick Mahomes getting points all day. PICK: Chiefs +2.5
Poll
Which bet do you like more?
37%
62%
180 votes total
Vote Now
CINCINNATI BENGALS at LOS ANGELES CHARGERS (-1.5): The Bengals are more rested coming off their mini-bye. They’re a better team than their record indicates and that much has to eventually translate into more wins. Getting Tee Higgins back should help. PICK: Bengals +1.5
Poll
Which bet do you like more?
65%
34%
165 votes total
Vote Now
HOUSTON TEXANS (-7.5) at DALLAS COWBOYS: The Cowboys are ass. PICK: Texans -7.5
Poll
Which bet do you like more?
86%
13%
169 votes total
Vote Now
