NFL Week 3 betting advice: Eagles-Rams pick and props

Steve Maltepes, known as “The Philly Godfather,” will impart his gambling wisdom on the Eagles and where the smart money is going on various pro football games each weekend this season. Maltepes is one of the nation’s hottest sports betting experts who appears weekly on national radio and has his own website, www.thephillygodfather.com.

Los Angeles Rams (2-0) at Philadelphia Eagles (2-0) at 1:00 p.m. Sunday

The Line: Eagles minus-3.5/Total: 44.5

What is the line telling you:

The line for this game originally opened as the Eagles being 4.5-point home favorites with a combined total set at 45.5. Since then, we’ve seen the line drop to Philly minus-3.5, and the total has ticked down a full point to 44.5. We already grabbed the Rams at plus-4.5, but even at the current number of plus-3.5, we still see value on Los Angeles. Yes, Philadelphia is 2-0 with close wins over the Cowboys and Chiefs, but they haven’t been impressive. Offensively, they’ve looked sluggish and inefficient—if you check the yards per play metric, the Eagles rank 30th in the NFL, while the Rams sit at third overall. Defensively, Philly hasn’t been much better, ranking 18th in opponent yards per play, compared to the Rams’ defense, which ranks 3rd overall in that same category.

This is also a huge revenge spot for Los Angeles after last year’s 28-22 playoff loss. That game was razor close heading into the fourth quarter, with the Eagles leading 16-15 before pulling away late. The box score, though, told a different story: the Rams had two more first downs and outgained Philly by 52 total yards. What killed them were the two turnovers and the inability to stop the run—Saquon Barkley gashed them for over 200 rushing yards.

Bottom line:

This time around, both teams enter healthy, unlike last year when the Rams’ defense limped into the postseason matchup. We don’t see Barkley repeating a 200-yard performance or the Rams losing the turnover battle 2-0 again. This game is a coin flip, and catching the Rams at anything over a field goal (+3.5) is a bet worth making.

Prop bets for the game

Kyren Williams over-60.5 rushing yards -110

Kyren Williams over-16.5 rushing attempts -150

Tyler Higbee anytime TD +390

Jalen Hurts anytime TD -150

…

Added plays

NFL 7 POINT TEASER Packers (minus-7.5 over the Browns) to minus-.5 & Rams plus-10.5

Bet the under 44.5 in the Jags game

(Betting lines are subject to change.)

0 Comments