UFC Vegas 105 predictions: Joanderson Brito to earn decision win, Lerone Murphy to score big victory and more

UFC Fight Night returns to Las Vegas on Saturday, April 5, with some huge Featherweight division bouts lined up in Sin City.

At the top of the UFC Vegas 105 card, Josh Emmett takes on Lerone Murphy in a bout that could have ramifications for a future UFC Featherweight title shot. Emmett returns after 16 months away from the octagon as he hopes to end Murphy’s 16-fight undefeated streak in Vegas.

Elsewhere on the card, Joanderson Brito is hoping to bounce back from a split-decision loss against William Gomis to beat Pat Sabatini in the co-main event of UFC Vegas 105, while there’s an impromptu Heavyweight clash between Martin Buday and Uran Satybaldiev after future star Kennedy Nzechukwu was forced to pull out of his planned fight with Buday due to injury.

Ahead of UFC Vegas 105, the experts at Bloody Elbow have picked their winners for the two main event fights, as well as the Performance of the Night and their Fight of the Night.

READ MORE – UFC Vegas 105 preview: Start time, full fight card, how to watch, live stream as Josh Emmett faces Lerone Murphy

Photo by Chris Unger/Zuffa LLCJosh Emmett vs Lerone Murphy predictionJordan Ellis – Lerone Murphy via decisionJames Sweetnam – Lerone Murphy via KOKyle Diamond – Lerone Murphy via KOThe Bloody Elbow team are unanimous in picking The Miracle as the winner, as they back Murphy to keep his undefeated streak alive against Emmett. However, they’re split on whether it will be via decision or knockout.

A win for Murphy would go a long way to helping him earn a world title shot. This victory would put him at 16 wins and 0 defeats, the same as former Featherweight champion Ilia Topuria before he vacated the belt.

Emmett took an extended break after his last bout, which could leave him with some ring rust and may be the difference in winning and losing the fight at UFC Vegas 105. Fans haven’t seen Emmett fight since December 2023, which is a long break for the 40-year-old.

Photo by Chris Unger/Zuffa LLCPat Sabatini vs Joanderson BritoJordan Ellis – Joanderson Brito via decisionJames Sweetnam – Joanderson Brito via decisionKyle Diamond -Joanderson Brito via decisionThe co-main event seems to be a foregone conclusion, according to our Bloody Elbow experts. All three have gone for Brito to take home the decision victory over Sabatini in Las Vegas.

Both men will walk into the fight with similar records, although Brito lost to Gomis in his last match. He will have a point to prove to get himself back up the Featherweight rankings by beating the 34-year-old Sabatini in his home country.

They may be looking back at Brito’s victory over Diego Lopes as a hint to how the fight could go, with the bout showing the Brazilian’s striking ability that could prove an issue for Sabatini in the octagon.

Fight of the Night at UFC Vegas 105Jordan Ellis – Davey Grant vs Daniel Santos James Sweetnam – Brad Tavares vs Gerald Meerschaert Kyle Diamond – Josh Emmett vs Lerone Murphy Three separate picks for Fight of the Night show the quality of bouts on offer for UFC Vegas 105. Jordan’s frontrunner is Davey Grant’s fight with Daniel Santos on the prelims. This is Santos’ first fight since 2023, but his record of 12 wins and just 2 defeats will pair well with Grant’s 16 wins and 7 defeats, giving the chance for an open, exciting fight where anything can happen.

Daniel Santos has been a bit of a zombie-esque sitting duck at times. That being said, if you can’t get him out of there, he’ll keep marching forward slinging leather. He’s got his hands full with the grizzled vet, Davey Grant. #UFCVegas105

— Mike’s MMA Picks (@MikesMMAPicks) April 3, 2025 View Tweet

James’ prediction is that the Brad Tavares vs Gerald Meerschaert bout will be the best one of the night. The men are two veterans of the octagon, boasting 57 wins between them in their years fighting professionally. However, both sport losing records in their past five fights, and the desperation to improve their fortunes will help make this a potential Fight of the Night.

Finally, Kyle thinks the main event of the evening will be the Fight of the Night. Murphy is an exciting young fighter boasting an impressive record. Combining him with one of the UFC’s strongest punchers in Emmett is a recipe for a classic fight.

Performance of the Night at UFC Vegas 105Jordan Ellis – Torrez FinneyJames Sweetnam – Davey GrantKyle Diamond – Torrez FinneyTwo of our experts picked Torrez Finney, also on the prelims, as who they predict will be the most impressive performer at UFC Vegas 105. Finney is undefeated, winning his last 10 fights, 7 of them via KO/TKO. If he carries on his destructive streak inside the octagon, he has a great chance of picking up the bonus at the end of the night.

Undefeated fan favorite prospect Torrez Finney (10-0) makes his UFC debut this Saturday after a 3 fight stretch battling for a contract on Dana White’s Contender Series.

Torrez won his first 2 fights on DWCS, but needed a 3rd short notice knockout win to finally earn a spot. pic.twitter.com/x2REKH2fUA

— InsideFighting (@InsideFighting_) April 1, 2025 View Tweet

Finney has been criticized by Dana White in the past for his performances, so winning may not be enough for the young fighter. A Performance of the Night is just what he needs to catapult himself up the rankings and nearer to a title shot in the future.

James sees it differently, picking Grant as the man who will impress in Las Vegas on April 5. He sees the ‘The Ultimate Fighter’ runner-up impressing against Santos. Grant nearly lost a toe after a recent injury at UFC Tampa, so he’ll have quite the test on the prelims to earn Performance of the Night.