Who is top of the Premier League xG table for 2023/24?

Goals are great, but what’s even better than actual goals? Expected goals. And, according to xG, Man Utd are rubbish…

Here’s the full xG table…

1) Manchester City – 80 points

Actual points: 70 (-10 points)

Burnley W 1.9-0.3

Newcastle United W 1.0-0.3

Sheffield United W 3.5-0.7

Fulham W 2.2-1.4

West Ham W 3.6-0.9

Nottingham Forest W 1.3-1.0

Wolves W 0.9-0.4

Arsenal W 0.5-0.4

Brighton D 0.8-0.8

Manchester United W 4.0-0.9

Bournemouth W 1.9-0.9

Chelsea D 2.9-2.9

Liverpool W 1.38-0.55

Tottenham W 2.6-0.5

Aston Villa L 0.8-2.0

Luton W 1.6-0.3

Crystal Palace L 1.6-1.8

Everton W 2.60-0.98

Sheffield United W 2.2-0.3

Newcastle United W 3.0-1.3

Burnley W 1.7-1.4

Brentford W 2.1-1

Everton W 1.6-0.3

Chelsea W 2.6-1.4

Brentford W 2.3-0.4

Bournemouth W 1.6-0.9

Man Utd W 3.3-0.3

Liverpool L 1.6-2.5

Arsenal W 1.0-0.7

Aston Villa W 3.4-0.8

Crystal Palace W 1.0-1.1

2) Arsenal – 75 points

Actual points: 71 (-4 points)

Nottingham Forest L 0.8-1.2

Crystal Palace W 2.0-1.0

Fulham W 3.2-0.6

Manchester United W 2.3-0.9

Everton W 1.0-0.3

Tottenham W 1.8-1.4

Bournemouth W 3.4-0.6

Man City L 0.4-0.5

Chelsea L 1.0-1.3

Sheffield United W 2.8-0.0

Newcastle L 0.6-0.9

Burnley W 1.9-0.4

Brentford W 1.52-1.11

Wolves W 2.8-0.7

Luton W 2.4-0.5

Aston Villa W 1.4-0.6

Brighton W 2.2-0.7

Liverpool L 0.80-0.95

West Ham W 2.6-1.5

Fulham W 1.6-1.2

Crystal Palace W 3.07-0.33

Nottingham Forest W 1.2-0.4

Liverpool W 3.5-0.4

West Ham W 3.6-0.2

Burnley W 2.3-0.3

Newcastle W 2.4-0.2

Sheffield United W 2.2-0.2

Brentford W 1.3-1.0

Man City L 0.7-1.0

Luton W 0.7-0.3

Brighton W 3.4-0.5

3) Liverpool – 70 points

Actual points: 71 (+1 point)

Chelsea L 1.3-1.4

Bournemouth W 3.0-1.3

Newcastle United L 0.9-2.0

Aston Villa W 2.5-0.7

Wolves W 2.5-0.6

West Ham W 3.0-1.1

Tottenham L 1.3-2.2

Brighton D 2.3-2.3

Everton W 2.2-0.1

Nottingham Forest W 3.2-0.4

Luton W 2.6-0.8

Brentford L 1.4-1.5

Man City L 0.55-1.38

Fulham W 2.1-1.2

Sheffield United W 1.8-0.7

Crystal Palace L 1.2-1.7

Manchester United W 2.3-0.6

Arsenal W 0.95-0.80

Burnley W 1.69-0.76

Newcastle United W 7.1-0.6

Bournemouth W 1.6-1.4

Chelsea W 2.9-0.6

Arsenal L 0.4-3.5

Burnley W 2.8-1.3

Brentford W 2.8-1.6

Luton W 3.3-1.0

Nottingham Forest W 2.0-1.0

Manchester City W 2.5-1.6

Brighton W 2.8-1.4

Sheff Utd W 1.8-0.6

Liverpool W 3.6-0.7

4) Chelsea – 60 points

Actual points: 44 (-16 points)

Liverpool W 1.4-1.3

West Ham W 2.5-1.8

Luton W 2.2-0.4

Nottingham Forest W 2.3-0.8

Bournemouth W 1.8-1.0

Aston Villa W 1.3-1.0

Fulham W 1.7-1.1

Burnley W 1.9-0.7

Arsenal W 1.3-1.0

Brentford L 1.9-2.2

Tottenham W 4.0-1.9

Manchester City D 2.9-2.9

Newcastle L 0.58-2.28

Brighton W 1.9-1.0

Man Utd L 1.4-4.0

Everton L 0.9-1.2

Sheffield United W 2.8-0.4

Wolves W 2.06-1.27

Crystal Palace W 2.57-1.12

Luton L 1.5-2.3

Fulham W 2.2-0.8

Liverpool L 0.6-2.9

Wolves D 1.9-1.9

Crystal Palace W 1.6-0.6

Manchester City L 1.4-2.6

Brentford D 1.8-1.8

Newcastle United W 1.7-0.8

Burnley W 4.2-1.6

Man Utd W 3.0-1.5

Sheff Utd L 0.4-1.4

5) Everton – 56 points

Actual points before deduction: 35 (-21 points)

Fulham W 2.7-1.5

Aston Villa L 0.6-2.9

Wolves W 1.3-1.1

Sheffield United W 2.5-1.2

Arsenal L 0.3-1.0

Brentford W 1.9-1.0

Luton Town W 2.9-0.9

Bournemouth W 2.4-0.7

Liverpool L 0.1-2.2

West Ham W 0.8-0.7

Brighton W 0.7-0.5

Crystal Palace L 1.6-2.0

Manchester United W 2.4-2.2

Nottingham Forest D 0.7-0.7

Newcastle W 3.3-1.5

Chelsea W 1.2-0.9

Burnley W 1.3-0.7

Tottenham W 1.95-1.34

Man City L 0.98-2.60

Wolves L 0.4-1.9

Aston Villa D 1.1-1.1

Fulham W 1.9-1.7

Tottenham W 2.6-1.0

Man City L 0.3-1.6

Crystal Palace W 1.6-0.6

Brighton L 0.3-1.4

West Ham W 2.7-1.9

Man Utd L 1.6-2.7

Bournemouth L 1.0-1.3

Newcastle United L 1.4-2.5

Burnley W 0.9-0.5

6) Aston Villa – 55 points

Actual points: 60 (+5 points)

Newcastle United L 1.8-3.3

Everton W 2.9-0.6

Burnley W 2.5-0.7

Liverpool L 0.7-2.5

Crystal Palace W 3.0-1.2

Chelsea L  1.0-1.3

Brighton L 1.6-1.7

Wolves W 1.7-1.6

West Ham W 1.9-1.1

Luton W 2.3-0.5

Nottingham Forest W 0.3-1.4

Fulham W 3.0-0.8

Tottenham L 1.7-2.3

Bournemouth L 0.7-2.0

Manchester City W 2.0-0.8

Arsenal L 0.6-1.4

Brentford W 1.4-0.5

Sheffield United W 0.9-0.6

Man Utd W 1.68-1.04

Burnley W 3.2-1.2

Everton D 1.1-1.1

Newcastle United L 1.4-2.5

Sheffield United W 2.2-1.4

Man Utd W 2.4-1.9

Fulham D 1.5-1.5

Nottingham Forest W 3.6-2.6

Luton W 1.9-1.8

Tottenham L 0.9-1.6

West Ham L 0.6-2.0

Wolves L 1.0-1.5

Man City L 0.8-1.4

Brentford D 1.5-1.5

7) Tottenham – 51 points

Actual points: 60 (+9 points)

Brentford L 1.3-2.2

Manchester United L 1.7-2.1

Bournemouth W 2.1-0.7

Burnley W 2.2-1.3

Sheffield United W 2.1-0.7

Arsenal L 1.4-1.8

Liverpool W 2.2-1.3

Luton W 1.9-0.8

Fulham W 1.5-1.0

Crystal Palace W 1.1-0.6

Chelsea L 0.9-4.0

Wolves L 0.7-2.1

Aston Villa W 2.3-1.7

Man City L 0.5-2.6

West Ham L 1.8-2.2

Newcastle United W 3.9-1.7

Nottingham Forest W 1.5-1.3

Everton L 1.34-1.95

Brighton L 2.5-3.4

Bournemouth W 2.3-1.7

Man Utd W 1.3-0.8

Brentford W 2.7-1.7

Everton L  1.0-2.6

Brighton W 1.6-1.2

Wolves L 1.6-1.8

Crystal Palace W 1.9-0.3

Aston Villa W 1.6-0.9

Fulham L 2.4-2.7

Luton W 2.9-0.5

West Ham L 1.0-1.2

Nottingham Forest L 1.4-1.6

8) Brighton – 51 points

Actual points: 43 (-8 points)

Luton W 4.0-1.5

Wolves W 2.2-2.1

West Ham L 1.5-3.0

Newcastle United W 1.3-1.2

Manchester United W 1.7-1.0

Bournemouth W 1.9-1.1

Aston Villa W 1.7-1.6

Liverpool D 2.3-2.3

Man City D 0.8-0.8

Fulham W 1.4-0.7

Everton L 0.5-0.7

Sheffield United W 1.5-0.7

Nottingham Forest L 1.46-1.69

Chelsea L 1.0-1.9

Brentford W 1.5-1.3

Burnley W 2.6-0.6

Arsenal L 0.7-2.2

Palace L 1.2-1.3

Tottenham W 3.4-2.5

West Ham W 2.4-0.7

Wolves L 1.2-1.4

Luton Town L 0.9-2.8

Crystal Palace W 1.4-0.3

Tottenham L 1.2-1.6

Sheffield United W 2.9-0.6

Everton W 1.4-0.3

Fulham D 1.3-1.3

Nottingham Forest L 0.5-0.7

Liverpool L 0.4-2.8

Brentford W 1.1-0.6

Arsenal L 0.5-3.4

9) Newcastle – 49 points

Actual points: 47 (-2 points)

Aston Villa W 3.3-1.8

Manchester City L 0.3-1.0

Liverpool W 2.0-0.9

Brighton L 1.2-1.3

Brentford W 1.4-0.5

Sheffield United W 3.9-0.9

Burnley W 3.2-0.6

West Ham W 2.0-1.2

Crystal Palace W 2.4-1.2

Wolves W 2.2-0.9

Arsenal W 0.9-0.6

Bournemouth L 0.5-2.6

Chelsea W 2.28-0.58

Man Utd W 2.4-0.5

Everton L 1.5 – 3.3

Tottenham L 1.7-3.9

Fulham W 3.6-0.3

Luton L 1.68-1.88

Nottingham Forest L 2.4-3.5

Liverpool L 0.6-7.1

Manchester City L 1.3-3.0

Aston Villa W 2.5-1.4

Luton L 2.3-2.4

Nottingham Forest L 0.5-1.5

Bournemouth D 2.2-2.2

Arsenal L 0.2-2.4

Wolves W 2.1-0.8

Chelsea L 0.8-1.7

West Ham W 4.1-1.4

Everton W 2.5-1.4

Fulham L 1.0-1.2

10) Bournemouth – 46 points

Actual points: 41 (-5 points)

West Ham W 1.3-1.1

Liverpool L 1.3-3.0

Tottenham L 0.7-2.1

Brentford L 2.1-2.9

Chelsea L 1.0-1.8

Brighton L 1.1-1.9

Arsenal L 0.6-3.4

Everton L 0.7-2.4

Wolves L 0.6-2.4

Burnley W 1.1-0.8

Manchester City L 0.9-1.9

Newcastle United W 2.6-0.5

Sheffield United W 2.71-0.81

Aston Villa W 2.0-0.7

Crystal Palace W 1.6-0.8

Manchester United W 1.5-1.1

Nottingham Forest W 1.57-0.75

Fulham W 1.78-0.27

Tottenham L 1.7-2.3

Liverpool L 1.4-1.6

West Ham L 1.2-1.4

Nottingham Forest W 1.0-0.6

Fulham W 1.8-1.6

Newcastle United D 2.2-2.2

Manchester City L 0.9-1.6

Burnley L 1.1-1.5

Sheffield United W 3.3-1.2

Luton Town W 2.3-2.0

Everton W 1.3-1.0

Crystal Palace W 1.2-0.1

Luton Town L 0.5-1.4

11) Nottingham Forest – 47 points

Actual points before deduction: 29 (-18 points)

Arsenal W 1.2-0.8

Sheffield United W 1.4-0.5

Manchester United L 1.2-2.8

Chelsea L 0.8-2.3

Burnley W 0.7-0.5

Manchester City L 1.0-1.3

Brentford L 0.5-1.6

Crystal Palace W 1.0-0.8

Luton W 2.9-1.7

Liverpool L 0.4-3.2

Aston Villa L 0.4-1.3

West Ham W 1.6-1.5

Brighton W 1.69-1.46

Everton D 0.7-0.7

Fulham L 0.3-2.5

Wolves W 1.3-1.2

Tottenham L 1.3-1.5

Bournemouth L 0.75-1.57

Newcastle W 3.25-2.46

Man Utd L 0.7-0.8

Brentford D 1.2-1.2

Arsenal L 0.4-1.2

Bournemouth L 0.6-1.0

Newcastle United W 1.5-0.5

West Ham United W 2.8-0.5

Aston Villa L 2.6-3.6

Liverpool L 1.0-2.0

Brighton W 0.7-0.5

Luton Town W 1.7-0.6

Crystal Palace L 0.9-1.2

Fulham W 1.5-1.2

Tottenham W 1.6-1.4

12) West Ham – 40 points

Actual points: 48 (+8 points)

Bournemouth L 1.1-1.3

Chelsea L 1.8-2.5

Brighton W 3.0-1.5

Luton L 1.0-1.4

Manchester City L 0.9-3.6

Liverpool L 1.1-3.0

Sheffield United W 2.1-1.1

Newcastle L 1.2-2.0

Aston Villa L 1.1-1.9

Everton L 0.7-0.8

Brentford W 1.8-1.3

Nottingham Forest L 1.5-1.6

Burnley L 1.03-1.27

Crystal Palace W 1.3-0.8

Spurs W 2.2-1.8

Fulham L 1.4-2.3

Wolves W 1.1-0.7

Man Utd W 0.91-1.36

Arsenal L 1.5-2.6

Brighton L 0.7-2.4

Sheffield United D 2.2-2.2

Bournemouth W 1.4-1.2

Manchester United W 1.6-0.8

Arsenal L 0.2-3.6

Nottingham Forest L 0.5-2.8

Brentford W 1.5-1.1

Everton L 1.9-2.7

Burnley W 2.7-0.6

Aston Villa W 2.0-0.6

Newcastle United L 1.4-4.1

Tottenham W 1.2-1.0

Wolves L 1.2-1.5

13) Brentford – 36 points

Actual points: 32 (-4 points)

Tottenham W 2.2-1.3

Fulham W 3.7-0.5

Crystal Palace W 1.0-0.8

Bournemouth W 2.9-2.1

Newcastle United L 0.5-1.4

Everton L 1.0-1.9

Nottingham Forest W 1.6-0.5

Man Utd L 0.9-1.4

Burnley W 3.1-1.1

Chelsea W 2.2-1.9

West Ham L 1.3-1.8

Liverpool W 1.5-1.4

Arsenal L 1.11-1.52

Luton W 3.1-0.2

Brighton L 1.3-1.5

Sheffield United L 0.6-0.8

Aston Villa L 0.5-1.4

Wolves L 2.23-2.39

Crystal Palace W 1.4-1.0

Nottingham Forest D 1.2-1.2

Tottenham L 1.7-2.7

Manchester City L 1-2.1

Wolves W 1.9-1.0

Liverpool L 1.6-2.8

Man City L 0.4-2.3

West Ham L 1.1-1.5

Chelsea D 1.8-1.8

Arsenal L 1.0-1.3

Burnley L 1.0-2.7

Man Utd W 3.2-0.6

Brighton L 0.6-1.1

Aston Villa D 1.5-1.5

14) Crystal Palace – 36 points

Actual points: 30 (-6 points)

Sheffield United W 1.9-0.5

Arsenal L 1.0-2.0

Brentford L 0.8-1.0

Wolves W 2.1-1.2

Aston Villa L 1.2-3.0

Fulham L 0.3-0.6

Manchester United L 0.9-1.3

Nottingham Forest L 0.8-1.0

Newcastle L 1.2-2.4

Tottenham L 0.6-1.1

Burnley W 1.3-1.1

Everton W 2.0-1.6

Luton W 1.68-0.83

West Ham L 0.8-1.3

Bournemouth L 0.8-1.6

Liverpool W 1.7-1.2

Manchester City W 1.8-1.6

Brighton W 1.3-1.2

Chelsea L 1.12-2.57

Brentford L 1.0-1.4

Arsenal L 3.07-0.33

Sheffield United W 1.1-0.8

Brighton L 0.3-1.4

Chelsea L 0.6-1.6

Everton L 0.6-1.6

Burnley W 2.4-0.1

Tottenham L 0.3-1.9

Luton Town W 2.7-0.8

Nottingham Forest W 1.2-0.9

Bournemouth L 1.2-0.1

Manchester City L 1.1-1.9

15) Manchester United – 34 points

Actual points: 49 (+15 points)

Wolves D 2.2-2.2

Tottenham W 2.1-1.7

Nottingham Forest W 2.8-1.2

Arsenal L 0.9-2.3

Brighton L 1.0-1.7

Burnley L 1.0-1.1

Crystal Palace W 1.3-0.9

Brentford W 1.9-0.4

Sheffield United L 1.1-1.4

Manchester City L 0.9-4.0

Fulham L 0.7-1.0

Luton Town W 2.1-0.4

Everton L 2.2-2.4

Newcastle L 0.5-2.4

Chelsea W 4.0-1.4

Bournemouth L 1.1-1.5

Liverpool L 0.6-2.3

West Ham L 0.91-1.36

Aston Villa L 1.04-1.68

Nottingham Forest W 0.8-0.7

Tottenham L 0.8-1.3

Wolves W 3.3-2.1

West Ham L 0.8-1.6

Aston Villa L 1.9.2-4

Luton W 2.8-1.7

Fulham W 1.7-1.2

Man City L 0.3-3.3

Everton W 2.7-1.6

Brentford L 0.6-3.2

Chelsea L 1.5-3.0

Liverpool L 0.7-3.6

16) Wolves – 33 points

Actual points: 42 (+9 points)

Manchester United D 2.2-2.2

Brighton L 2.1-2.2

Everton L 1.1-1.3

Crystal Palace L 1.2-2.1

Liverpool L 0.6-2.5

Luton L 0.6-2.1

Manchester City L 0.4-0.9

Aston Villa L 1.6-1.7

Bournemouth W 2.4-0.6

Newcastle L 0.9-2.2

Sheffield United W 1.2-1.1

Tottenham W 2.1-0.7

Fulham L 1.4-2.8

Arsenal L 0.7-2.8

Burnley D 0.8-0.8

Nottingham Forest L 1.2-1.3

West Ham L 0.7-1.1

Chelsea L 1.27-2.06

Brentford W 2.39-2.23

Everton W 1.9-0.4

Brighton W 1.4-1.2

Man Utd L 2.1-3.3

Chelsea D 1.9-1.9

Brentford L 1.0-1.9

Tottenham W 1.8-1.6

Sheffield United W 1.2-0.6

Newcastle L 0.8-2.1

Fulham L 0.6-2.8

Aston Villa W 1.5-1.0

Burnley L 0.8-1.0

West Ham W 1.5-1.2

17) Fulham – 33 points

Actual points: 39 (+6)

Everton L 1.5-2.7

Brentford L 0.5-3.7

Arsenal L 0.6-3.2

Manchester City L 1.4-2.2

Luton L 1.0-1.1

Crystal Palace W 0.6-0.3

Chelsea L 1.1-1.7

Sheffield United W 2.2-0.6

Tottenham L 1.5-1.0

Brighton L 0.7-1.4

Manchester United W 1.0-0.7

Aston Villa L 0.8-3.0

Wolves W 2.8-1.4

Liverpool L 1.2-2.1

Nottingham Forest W 2.5-1.3

West Ham W 2.3-1.4

Newcastle L 0.3-3.6

Burnley W 1.38-0.41

Bournemouth L .027-1.78

Arsenal L 1.2-1.6

Chelsea L 0.8-2.2

Everton L 1.7-1.9

Burnley L 1.5-1.8

Bournemouth L 1.6-1.8

Aston Villa D 1.5-1.5

Man Utd L 1.2-1.7

Brighton D 1.3-1.3

Wolves W 2.6-0.8

Tottenham W 2.7-2.4

Sheffield United L 1.3-1.9

Nottingham Forest D 1.5-1.5

Newcastle United W 1.2-1.0

18) Luton – 30 points

Actual points: 25 (-5 points)

Brighton L 1.5-4.0

Chelsea L 0.4-2.2

West Ham W 1.4-1.0

Fulham W 1.1-1.0

Wolves W 2.1-0.6

Everton L 0.9-2.9

Burnley W 1.3-1.1

Tottenham L 0.8-1.9

Nottingham Forest L 1.7-2.9

Aston Villa L 0.5-2.3

Liverpool L 0.8-2.6

Man Utd L 0.4-2.1

Crystal Palace L 0.83-1.68

Brentford L 0.2-3.1

Arsenal L 0.5-2.4

Manchester City L 0.3-1.6

Newcastle W 1.88-1.66

Sheffield United L 0.62-2.99

Chelsea W 2.3-1.5

Burnley L 0.9-1.1

Brighton W 2.8-0.9

Newcastle W 2.4-2.3

Sheffield United W 1.8-1.7

Manchester United L 1.7-2.8

Liverpool L 1.0-3.3

Aston Villa L 1.8-1.9

Crystal Palace L 0.8-2.7

Bournemouth L 2.0-2.3

Nottingham Forest L 0.6-1.7

Tottenham L 0.5-2.9

Arsenal L 0.3-0.7

Bournemouth W 1.5-0.4

19) Burnley – 25 points

Actual points: 19 (-6 points)

Manchester City L 0.3-1.9

Aston Villa L 0.7-2.5

Tottenham L 1.3-2.2

Nottingham Forest L 0.5-0.7

Manchester United W 1.1-1.0

Newcastle United L 0.6-3.2

Luton L 1.1-1.3

Chelsea L 0.7-1.9

Brentford L 1.1-3.1

Bournemouth L 0.8-1.1

Crystal Palace L 1.1-1.3

Arsenal L 0.4-1.9

West Ham W 1.27-1.03

Sheffield United W 1.8-0.4

Wolves D 0.8-0.8

Brighton L 0.6-2.6

Everton L 0.7-1.3

Fulham L 0.41-1.38

Liverpool L 0.76-1.69

Aston Villa L 1.2-3.2

Luton W 1.1-0.9

Man City L 1.4-1.7

Fulham W 1.8-1.5

Liverpool L 1.3-2.8

Arsenal L 0.3-2.3

Crystal Palace L 0.1-2.4

Bournemouth W 1.5-1.1

West Ham L 0.6-2.0

Brentford W 2.7-1.0

Chelsea L 1.6-4.2

Wolves W 1.0-0.8

Everton L 0.5-0.9

20) Sheffield United – 16 points

Actual points: 16 (level)

Crystal Palace L 0.5-1.9

Nottingham Forest L 0.5-1.4

Manchester City L 0.7-3.5

Everton L 1.2-2.5

Tottenham L 0.7-2.1

Newcastle United L 0.9-3.9

West Ham L 1.1-2.1

Fulham L 0.6-2.2

Man Utd W 1.4-1.1

Arsenal L 0.0-2.8

Wolves L 1.1-1.2

Brighton L 0.7-1.5

Bournemouth L 0.81-2.71

Burnley L 0.4-1.8

Liverpool L 0.7-1.8

Brentford W 0.8-0.6

Chelsea L 0.4-2.8

Aston Villa L 0.6-0.9

Luton W 2.99-06.2

Manchester City L 0.3-2.2

West Ham United D 2.2-2.2

Crystal Palace L 0.8-1.1

Aston Villa L 1.4-2.2

Luton L 1.7-1.8

Brighton L 0.6-2.9

Wolves L 0.6-1.2

Arsenal L 0.2-2.2

Bournemouth L 1.2-3.3

Fulham W 1.9-1.3

Liverpool L 0.6-1.8

Chelsea W 1.4-0.4

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